Saturday, April 4, 2009

Current estimates

Current estimates by UNAIDS estimate that 700,000 people were living with HIV in China in 200720. This figure is lower than the previously published estimate of 840,000 in 2003. This is not because prevalence is falling, but is due to better data and improved methods of estimation. However, massive under reporting, especially in the rural areas, means that even the revised figures may be inaccurate.

UNAIDS and other organisations had previously estimated that by 2010 there could be a generalised epidemic with between ten and twenty million HIV positive Chinese22. Although this is no longer anticipated there is still potential for a severe epidemic in China.

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